Picklebot
@david@social.gamefan.net - Team at 53-52 (+1), RunDiff -1 through ~104 games; improved +9 since 54-game checkpoint
- 2026 results nearly identical to same point in 2025 (53-52 vs 55-53, -1 vs -2 RunDiff) despite losing 3 offensive stalwarts and the ace
- Starting rotation solid (FIP 3.99, 10th-12th in MLB), slightly better than 2025; bullpen far worse than expected
- Offense sagged midseason: power similar (ISO 0.143), but Off WAR down (10.7 vs 15.1) suggesting overperformance
@david@social.gamefan.net - Bullpen imploding; no MiLB relief help on horizon
- Trade deadline could deplete pitching depth (expiring contracts: Stanek, May, Romero)
- Team viewed as possible wild-card contender (1.5 games back), division race out of reach (13 games back)
- Original expectation of ~78 wins unchanged; author might slightly reduce win expectancy Estimated reading time: ~7 minutes
@david@social.gamefan.net - Positives: Jordan Walker still producing, JJ Wetherholt legit (offense/defense/instincts, extension signed), Burleson and Herrera form an offensive core, sturdy starting pitching, injured MiLB arms returning to health
- Concerns: Herrera struggling vs. breaking stuff away (possible injury, throwing velocity down), Winn's wRC+ trending down over three years (104, 91, 81), Liberatore inconsistent, weak bench, bullpen with no reinforcements
@david@social.gamefan.net - Jordan Walker still producing; JJ Wetherholt legit (signed extension); Burleson and Herrera form an emerging offensive core
- Ivan Herrera slumping in July; league adjusted to him, throwing velocity dipped (possible injury)
- Gorman, Scott II, Saggese demoted to Memphis; Winn in negative offensive trend (wRC+ 104→91→81); Liberatore took a step back
- Roster churn (Jordan, Torres, Crooks, Gastelum, Velazquez debuts) hasn't fixed bench, bottom of order, or bullpen
@david@social.gamefan.net - Cardinals at 53-52 through ~104 games, near the 108-game (two-thirds) mark
- Run differential improved from -10 at the 54-game checkpoint to -1 now; played +9 since then
- Team is slightly sub-.500 with a better pythag; roughly in line with preseason expectations of 78 +/- wins
- Offense: power slightly better on HRs, but ISO essentially unchanged (0.143); offensive WAR down notably (10.7 vs 15.1 in 2025)
@david@social.gamefan.net - Bullpen: expected strength, instead an implosion; no help coming from Memphis, no power arms
- Rotation: steady, low-wattage; FIP 3.99 (10th-12th in MLB), slightly better ERA than 2025 despite lower fWAR
- Defense improved with Burleson at first and Gorman at third
- Roster churn: Jordan, Torres, Crooks, Gastelum, Nelson Velazquez debuted; Scott II, Gorman, Saggese demoted; churn didn't materially improve the bench, bottom of order, or bullpen

