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midway

@midway@soapbox.midwaytrades.com
  • Open on soapbox.midwaytrades.com
Part-time options trader. Alt-tech enthusiast. Purveyor of odd ideas.

Nothing here is trading advise. I can't know your personal situation or risk tolerance.
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Open post
midway @midway@soapbox.midwaytrades.com
· 2w ago
Replying to
There won’t be anyone left to close the straits.
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Open post
midway @midway@soapbox.midwaytrades.com
· 2w ago
Replying to
Who says you nuke the mountains? While I’m not advocating using nukes if you did you’d level their 3 largest cities and just get it over with. Otherwise there’s no point in using them. Nukes are a last resort. Therefore use them to finish off the other side or don’t use them at all.
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Open post
midway @midway@soapbox.midwaytrades.com
· 4mo ago
Not sure why this got marked sensitive, but here is the latest post I did on my blog where I talk about 4 changes I made to my trading this year that has made me better.

https://www.midwaytrades.com/4-changes-that-made-me-a-better-trader-in-2026
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Quoting
MidwayTrades
@midwaytrades@www.midwaytrades.com
4 Changes That Made Me A Better Trader In 2026 This year has been a very good year so far. I've seen some traders get frustrated with 2025 and 2026 because this has not been a normal market. Things are moving back and forth many times against a lot of conventional wisdom. We've got another tech bubble going on due to the AI craze, interest rates, while not historically high, have been held high based on the last couple of decades yet we keep hitting all time highs. And, of course, there's chaos in the middle east wreaking havoc with oil prices with news reports all over the place that is moving the market. Yet, in all of this chaos, it is possible to make money trading this market. Keep in mind that I primarily trade SPX in a non-directional manner so much of what I discuss here will be in that context. But some of these idea may help you in your trading regardless. I made most of these changes mid-2025 and by August I started seeing some results which have continued so far into 2026. I'll have my fist half of 2026 review in a few weeks right here on the site. The early part of 2025 was an absolute mess and that made me really look at what I was doing and think about what changes I had to make. This is why I do all of these trade reviews, both with the weekly videos and the half year reviews here on the blog. But enough of that, let's talk about the changes I made and why I think they are working. I Changed The Way I Look at IV (VIX) Because I'm an SPX trader, VIX is a reasonable proxy for the IV of the index. I use it as tool to determine what kind of trade I want to enter. When VIX is low, I tend to go long Vega (think calendars, diagonals) and when it's high I like to be short Vega (think Butterflies, which I prefer to Iron Condors.). I believe that IV is mean reverting so it makes sense to be a contrarian, especially when it's particularly high or low. I had levels that I used for years. Generally if VIX was below 16, I liked long Vega and above 17 I liked short Vega. In the middle was a trader's choice. But, as I said, in the first half of 2025 my trades just weren't working. And so I had to look at what I was putting on and I realized that the market had changed and the VIX levels I was using didn't make much sense. Take a look at this 2 year chart of VIX: I know this image is a bit hard to read but the black bar across the image is VIX at 17 which is the point I'm trying to make. During the past 2 years, 17 is actually a low IV environment for SPX and so instead of being short Vega, I realized that being long Vega made more sense. Now I'll be long Vega until around a VIX of 24 or higher. Making this change helped me position myself with respect to IV much better and made my trading easier. Since discovering that I regularly check VIX over a 6-12 month period to determine my levels. It's quite possible that the range will change again at some point and I need to watch for that change so I can change my initial trades accordingly. Don't Be Afraid To Take Early Profits With the market moving around in bigger chunks than before, there's nothing wrong with taking a profits early when the market offers them. In my early trading days I really held out to get at least 10% of my original risk on a trade. Today, I still get that sometimes, but I'm perfectly happy taking 8%, sometimes even less depending on the conditions such as: Time in the trade. If I can get 6 or 7 % in a day, I'm taking it. If I'm over 50% of the time in the trade, I likely just want to get out and move on. Known events. If there's a major market event (think CPI, FOMC, or a big earnings like NVDA), there's nothing wrong with taking a trade off before the event and re-entering after. At an Adjustment Point. More on adjusting later but, for now, if I'm at an adjustment point and I'm up any money at all, I just take it and move on. Sometimes I'll put on the same trade re-positioned based on the move. Of course, you should try to make the risk worth the reward and sometimes staying in makes sense, especially if your Greeks are good and you are well positioned within the range. But, especially in strange moving markets, you can make good money with several small wins rather than trying to fight a trade to get a big win. Keeping My Delta and Gamma Low This came out of my end of year review of 2025 when I saw things getting better. What I realized is that, for me, around 3 weeks is a sweet spot for an initial entry into a trade. That doesn't mean I'm in the trade that long, I'm usually out in a week or less, but my most successful trades were around 3 weeks of initial duration. Why? Low Deltas and Gamma. When things start to move, having a low Delta and Gamma gives me time to react or gives me the patience to wait for a reversal. If I have a 4-lot calendar on (a very common trade for me these days), having less than 1 delta and 1 or 2 cents of gamma at the start of my trade has helped me ride of moves in the first couple of days in my trade when they are most vulnerable to big moves. When I was trading shorter term, one decent move in either direction and I would need to adjust only to watch is reverse and whipsaw me. Whipsaws can still happen, to be sure, but it's easier to be patient when the trade is 2% down with 2 deltas on a 4-lot, than 9% down with 5+ deltas on the same trade. I've coined the phrase “low deltas = low blood pressure”. In a market that is moving big on news events, having time in the trade is a great tool that everyone can do. Now if you're really good at 0DTE or other really short term trades, more power to you. But I have found, for me, that having some duration has made the way I trade more successful. That short term Theta looks really nice. But it typically comes with a lot of price risk. I prefer a bit more time. Incremental Adjusting This has been a game changer for me. When reviewing trades in the past I noticed that most of my unsuccessful or just bad trades all had one thing in common. Over-adjusting. In fact, I had a rule that I never wanted to adjust more than once in a day. And while I still rarely do that, I have since decided that I drew the wrong conclusion from that data. It wasn't as much the number of adjustments as it was the size of the adjustments I was making. I would crush my position Delta or, many times, reverse it. And that's fine as long as the market keeps moving in that direction. But when it would reverse I was right back in trouble and needed to back out the adjustment. I was, essentially chasing the market. So mid last year I started making smaller adjustments. My main focus when adjusting is on the position deltas, namely, I want to reduce them (in absolute terms, I want to get closer to zero). What I found is that it's ok to do a small adjustment and then wait and see what the market does, then adjust more only if needed. Many years ago this would be expensive because brokers would charge you a fee per transaction plus commissions. That practice is, thankfully, long gone and so doing 2 small adjustments doesn't cost more than doing the equivalent move in one larger adjustment. I'll walk through a recent example. Back on April 9th I opened a 4-lot calendar about 25 points under the money at 6800 in the calls. The shorts were 22 days to expiration and the longs were 4 days later. VIX was about 19.58 when I entered it. So right now you can see I'm applying multiple principles here. I'm willing to be long Vega at this VIX level and I'm starting about 3 weeks out. This makes my starting position delta 0.55 on a 4-lot with 0.03 short gamma. A few days later on April 14, we've been moving up and I'm approaching the high end of the calendar tent. At this point I'm around 4% down in the trade and my position delta is about 2.80 short. Note, this is about 12:30 in the afternoon (US Eastern time) so there's still a good bit of trading left to do today but I don't feel comfortable with this risk. Before I would add 4 calendars to the top to turn it into a balanced double calendar or, if I didn't want to add that much capital I would roll 2 of them up. But both of those trades at this point would really skew my position delta, remember I'm only about 2.8 short. So, instead I add 1 calendar at 7025C. This adds decent room to the upside tent, but only cuts my position deltas down to about 1.75 short while adding about $500 to the trade. Now I have slowed down the bleeding on the upside but I still have some short delta if SPX reverses. And the very next day, SPX is up almost another standard deviation to 7012 (remember I entered this trade when SPX was 6825 so this has been a decent move) and my trade now looks like this at around 2:40. Would a bigger adjustment been better? Probably, but there's no way to know that, but I did make it better on the trade by cutting the position delta the day before. But now the delta is 3.38 short and the P/L isn't changed that much. But I'm about 15 points away from the center of the other calendar. The way I used to trade I would wait until SPX breached the center of the upper calendar, but that would require a bigger adjustment and I like being able to adjust earlier to just lower my delta risk. So in this case, I sold off 3 of the lower calendars leaving just a 1-lot double calendar. My thought at the time was that this would be the first step to exiting the trade as I didn't like it as much but by incrementally adjusting I gave myself some flexibility. So now I have drastically cut my overall risk from $3400 down to $1400 and my position delta is now 0.44 short. Like I said above, I didn't like how the trade was going so I wanted to take some risk off the table all around and, possibly just take it off at near break even or even a loss. Later that same day, around 3:25, SPX basically hit the center of my upper calendar. My position deltas were still pretty low but I was still thinking about taking it down, but the more I looked at it, the more I started to think it wasn't as bad as I thought. So instead of taking it down, I rolled the lower calendars at 6800C to strikes of the upper calendars at 7025C. So it went from this: To this: I basically reset the trade as a 2-lot calendar centered at 7025C. I did, technically, flip the sign on the position deltas which I usually don't do but it was pretty small anyway so I ended up with 0.80 long delta on a 2-lot. You might consider this just starting over and that's fine. I considered this a continuation of the original trade. The market calmed down a bit after this (finally!) so I rode this out for a couple more days and on April 20 at around 3:30 I took off the calendars for about 6% of my original capital. Now, is this the cure all for adjusting? Absolutely not. It is possible to over-adjust incrementally as well, but it is a tool and a mindset that has helped me handle trades that require adjusting better. Do I still take losses? Of course, but I'm avoiding bad losses by not over-adjusting and chasing trades. Note that in this example, I used all 4 of these changes: I entered a long Vega trade when VIX was 19.5, I didn't hold out for 10%, or even 8%, I kept my position delta and gamma low, when adjustments were needed, I did small incremental adjustments. I hope some of this helps you in your trading. So much of trading is a mindset and sometimes our mindset needs to change as market conditions change. The early part of 2025 was not a fun time for my trading. But what made it worth it was that I came out of it better. This content is free to use and copy with attribution under a creative commons license.
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midway @midway@soapbox.midwaytrades.com
· 5mo ago
I opened a new 4-lot calendar, 23 days out, longs 4 days later @ 7425C. Pretty standard trade for me, it’s worked pretty well so far
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midway @midway@soapbox.midwaytrades.com
· 5mo ago
Due to the run up over the past 2 days and my work schedule today, I closed mu calendars for just above break even (made around $9). If I didn't have several in person meetings today I would have waited it out. But my intention is to re-enter this trade later today.
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midway @midway@soapbox.midwaytrades.com
· 5mo ago
Ok, folks, this is a strange one...I had to recheck it 5 times to make sure it's real. But that calendar trade I put on today closed 14 minutes later for 31%. I have to rational explanation as it's trading now for close to what I bought. I guess the lesson here is *ALWAYS* have a close order in (mine was for 8%). I can't even show the graph due to limitations of my software but just to show something I'll show the transactions from my brokerage platform just to show it's real. This doesn't normally happen on 21 days trades. But I'll take it.
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midway @midway@soapbox.midwaytrades.com
· 5mo ago
I re-entered the calendars I closed earlier today 105 points higher.
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midway @midway@soapbox.midwaytrades.com
· 5mo ago
I closed the calendars from 2 days ago for just above break-even (made $10). I'd rather reposition it than adjust it. I may do this later today. The other trade from last week is holding up well.
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Open post
midway @midway@soapbox.midwaytrades.com
· 6mo ago
And here's a new calendar a little further out (23 days / longs 4 days futher) at 6975C.
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midway @midway@soapbox.midwaytrades.com
· 6mo ago
Ok, so I'm not bailing on it quite yet. But I did roll the lower side calendar to the upside calendar leaving a 2-lot 16-day calendar at 7025C. Not a bad trade. I'll likely put on a new one soon as well.
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midway @midway@soapbox.midwaytrades.com
· 6mo ago
With the market moving up more today, I'm liking this trade less so I closed 3 of the lower 4 calendars to make one double calendar at much lower risk. I may end up closing this as well, but this one will be easier to get out of as it's balanced.
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midway @midway@soapbox.midwaytrades.com
· 6mo ago
With the move up I added one calendar on the upside at 7025C. Just trying to gain some upside room and cut my deltas. I can add more or roll some up if needed.
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midway @midway@soapbox.midwaytrades.com
· 6mo ago
My latest trade review video is up on BitChute, Rumble, and PeerTube

This video covers another 2 week stretch because the first week I didn't do much but the one trade I did do turned out well. I did make one unforced error, I put on a trade without remembering the news and that trade didn't work out because I put it on 1 day too early. Good lesson. Situational awareness matters but just as important is how I managed it and kept the loss reasonable which is the key to successful trading. Lots of good stuff, check it out and let me know what you think

https://www.bitchute.com/video/ckxV8bGbK9EC

https://rumble.com/v78gx6q-twmt-weeks-ending-april-3-and-april-10-2026-one-day-too-soon.html

@midway
TWMT: Weeks Ending April 3 and April 10, 2026: One Day Too Soon
Bitchute

TWMT: Weeks Ending April 3 and April 10, 2026: One Day Too Soon

This video covers another 2 week stretch because the first week I didn't do much but the one trade I did do turned out well. I did make one unforced error, I put on a trade without remembering the news and that trade didn't work out because I put it on 1 day too early. Good lesson. Situational awareness matters but just as important is how I managed it and kept the loss reasonable which is the key to successful trading. Lots of good stuff, check it out and let me know what you think

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midway @midway@soapbox.midwaytrades.com
· 4mo ago
Well, NVDA earnings didn't really move anything, but I did go ahead and open a new 22-day calendar, longs 4 days further, at 7410C.
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midway @midway@soapbox.midwaytrades.com
· 4mo ago
My latest trade review video is up on BitChute and Rumble.

This was an interesting week as we continued to break all time high in the SPX. I did very well by positioning myself for a short-term pullback ... twice and it worked out well. In the short term, contrarian thinking can pay off. Take a look and let me know what you think.

https://www.bitchute.com/video/hEKZdxyz1b6t/

https://rumble.com/v79zyme-twmt-week-ending-may-15-20
TWMT: Week Ending May 15, 2026: Winning On Down Moves
Bitchute

TWMT: Week Ending May 15, 2026: Winning On Down Moves

This was an interesting week as we continued to break all time high in the SPX. I did very well by positioning myself for a short-term pullback ... twice and it worked out well. In the short term, contrarian thinking can pay off. Take a look and let me know what you think.

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midway @midway@soapbox.midwaytrades.com
· 5mo ago
Closed my calendars for just under 8% in 2 days. Perfect day for this trade.
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midway @midway@soapbox.midwaytrades.com
· 5mo ago
The calendars closed this morning for 8.5%
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midway @midway@soapbox.midwaytrades.com
· 5mo ago
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midway @midway@soapbox.midwaytrades.com
· 5mo ago
My latest trade review video is up on BitChute, Rumble, and PeerTube.

The real key this week is to show how I traded while on the road where I wasn't able to monitor things as closely as I usually can. Life is real and trading must fit those real life events. I was on the road, in meetings mid-week and it affected how I traded. It all turned out well but I hope it helps people see how to trade when life gets busy and not let things get out of control

https://www.bitchute.com/video/QFTjI9Nbv3iT

https://rumble.com/v79o6z8-twmt-week-ending-may-8-2026-trading-in-real-life.html

@midway
TWMT: Week Ending May 8, 2026: Trading In Real Life
Bitchute

TWMT: Week Ending May 8, 2026: Trading In Real Life

The real key this week is to show how I traded while on the road where I wasn't able to monitor things as closely as I usually can. Life is real and trading must fit those real life events. I was on the road, in meetings mid-week and it affected how I traded. It all turned out well but I hope it helps people see how to trade when life gets busy and not let things get out of control

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midway @midway@soapbox.midwaytrades.com
· 5mo ago
Ok, so I probably didn't need to close that calendar since SPX came back down, but sometimes life gets in the way. I have re-entered the same trade but 60 points higher since we are still up decently since I put on the last trade Now I'm centered at 7310.
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midway @midway@soapbox.midwaytrades.com
· 5mo ago
I put on a new calendar 24 days out, longs 4 days further about 30 points under the money (7250C).
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midway @midway@soapbox.midwaytrades.com
· 4mo ago
Ok, I did a couple of trades today. First, I closed the calendar I put on a week go for about 6%. Just wanted to take advantage of the pullback. Then I put on a new calendar 29 days out, long 4 days later at 7510C. I usually don't go out this long, but the IV was better so I went out an extra week. Should be interesting.
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midway @midway@soapbox.midwaytrades.com
· 4mo ago
My latest trade review video is up on BitChute, Rumble, and PeerTube.

I only put something on towards the end of the first week so I combined these 2 weeks. Overall a very good end to May. I do finally make an adjustment so there's an opportunity to talk about that. And I do a high level review of May.

https://www.bitchute.com/video/b7zH5zwl7QVw

https://rumble.com/v7ap4po-twmt-weeks-ending-may-22-and-may-29-2026-keep-on-rolling-along.html

@midway
TWMT: Weeks Ending May 22 and May 29, 2026: Keep On Rolling Along
Bitchute

TWMT: Weeks Ending May 22 and May 29, 2026: Keep On Rolling Along

I only put something on towards the end of the first week so I combined these 2 weeks. Overall a very good end to May. I do finally make an adjustment so there's an opportunity to talk about that. And I do a high level review of May.

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Open post
midway @midway@soapbox.midwaytrades.com
· 4mo ago
To mitigate some weekend risk, especially with world events being what they are, I added 1 calendar to the upside at 7650P. This flattens my delta and gives me some upside room. Plenty of downside room.
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midway @midway@soapbox.midwaytrades.com
· 4mo ago
New calendar for the week. Have to put it on for Thurs/Mon due to the upcoming holiday. I think having a Friday holiday messed with the prices a bit so I put on a 6-lot but the risk is similar to my other calendars.
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midway @midway@soapbox.midwaytrades.com
· 4mo ago
Replying to
I do. Sad what happened to them. A product of many bad decisions. But in the late 80s and 90s they were really good.
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